Sunday, January 8, 2012

The 2011 property report


KUALA LUMPUR, Jan 8 — Everyone is doing a list, so why shouldn’t I? Furthermore, 2011 has been an exciting year for the property market in Malaysia. Not every news can be considered as good news, though.
Let us go through these news which can be found the whole year of 2011:
1) MRT finally got off the ground
The government finally decided to integrate the capital city’s public transportation system by having the Klang Valley Mass Rapid Transit (KVMRT).
It is to be the final piece to the puzzle as Klang Valley public transport has always been fragmented. Launching it in July 2011, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak said he hoped that it will finally solve the woes of the city dweller by allowing them to park their car from wherever they are staying and ride public transport to work.
News on the MRT project, among others were : Its alignment as to where the train will pass and who will benefit from it; land acquisition which threaten a few heritage sites; the issue of land surface acquisition vs. underground land for the projects which now were brought to the court of law by businesses in Jalan Sultan (Chinatown), Jalan Imbi and Jalan Bukit Bintang; the possibility land prices rising wherever the MRT will pass; the issue of MRT Corporation getting involved in property development; and whether the right companies were chosen to receive the contracts for the RM40 billion project.
It is good that the government has finally got its act together to launch the MRT. It is badly needed to help the Klang Valley grow outwardly and to create more connectivity in the urban areas of the Greater Klang Valley. However, except for area like Taman Tun Dr. Ismail, it seems that the land acquisition in places where there are already other public transport makes it overlapping and redundant.
2) My First Home Scheme
My First Home Scheme was announced for houses between the price of RM100,000 to RM220,000 for first-time homeowner with the maximum price for this scheme was raised to RM400,000 in the 2012 Budget.
This 100 per cent housing loan scheme is provided by various financial institutions in Malaysia. The arrangement is for the first 10 per cent payment to buy the property to be guaranteed by Cagamas Berhad and has a maximum tenure of 30 years. Eligible for the Malaysia citizen below the age of 35 years old with household income of less than RM3,000.
The scheme seems to attract very few applicants as financial institutions appear to be not too keen to promote it. The government should actually partner it with either PR1MA or SPNB so that they can easily sell their affordable houses.
3) Perumahan Rakyat 1 Malaysia (PR1MA)
Launched in May 2011 and is known as 1Malaysia People’s Housing Scheme/Perumahan Rakyat 1 Malaysia, (PR1MA).
First time house buyer
Unlike the My First Home Scheme, the executor for this project is a new entity which acts very much like a housing developer. PR1MA identifies locations around Malaysia and build houses for people who fulfill certain criteria.
1Malaysia Housing Program Corporation has launched two projects to date. One is in Putrajaya and will be built by PR1MA itself and the other one is a joint venture between PR1MA and Sime Darby Property in Bandar Ainsdale, Seremban. The property is allocated to the masses through balloting.
The price of the houses in this scheme are between RM100,000 to RM220,000. The criteria to be eligible for this scheme is that the applicant must be Malaysians who have never owned a house before (first time homebuyer) and has a household income of RM6,000.
Some of the features for the houses build by PR1MA include the exemption of stamp duty, eligibility of 105 per cent loan from selected financial institutions with the 5 per cent to be utilised to pay insurance and legal fees and a lock-in period, where the housebuyers cannot sell the house within the first 10 years of ownership. An Act of Parliament has been enacted for this scheme and was passed in early December 2011.
4) Syarikat Perumahan Negara Berhad (SPNB) to build 10,000 houses in 2012
Begun much earlier to build affordable houses for the government, at the end of 2011 SPNB can be seen to be back in the news.
As explained by the Prime Minister when the PR1MA bill was tabled in early December, PR1MA will concentrate to build affordable hosing in the urban area whilst SPNB will still build affordable housing in the rural area.
The statement by the PM is supposed to solved the problem on the overlapping functions of these two government agencies.
It was announced at the end of 2011, SPNB had entered into an agreement with Bank Simpanan Nasional (BSN) which will provide financing for the 10,000 units of houses which SPNB had been tasked to build in 2012.
The cost for the project was estimated at RM650 million with the government subsidising RM200 million of it and the balance will be financed with the housing loans provided. Each house is estimated to cost around RM65,000.
For the past few years, SPNB has been offering affordable houses in a various categories which overlap what PR1MA has to offer. Among them were Rumah Mampu Milik (Affordable Houses) and Rumah Mesra Rakyat (Rakyat-friendly Houses).
An example of the former is Alam Prima which is located in Section 22, Shah Alam and the latter can be found in various small towns in Selangor, Sabah and Sarawak. SPNB is also the agency in charge to revive abandoned projects around the country and to act as the contractor to build more government quarters.
5) 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB)
Announced in 2010 as a fully government-owned sovereign wealth management fund with fingers in various pies which includes; a joint-venture with PetroSaudi International Limited to invest in oil and gas and real estate which has since made 1MDB RM425 million profit through part divestment; the building of Kuala Lumpur International Financial District (KLIFD) in the 30 hectares of the Imbi area bordering Jalan Tun Razak, Jalan Sultan Ismail and the MEX highway; and the building of Bandar Malaysia at the current Sungai Besi airport which will offer affordable houses.
1MDB was in the news at the end of 2011 due to the funding that they were said to have received from the government as subsidy at the tune of RM1.11 billion in Budget 2012 although they had already raised a sukuk worth RM5 billion in 2009; the lack of work on KLIFD; and the acquisition of the 495-acre land parcel which was the Royal Malaysia Armed Force (RMAF) Sg. Besi airport which will now be turned into Bandar Malaysia.
Highlights of 1MDB for the whole of 2011 were when opposition claimed that 1MDB seems to be getting funding which it does not need; the tender process announced by 1MDB for major foundation work for KLIFD due to take off in early 2012; and when the price of houses at Bandar Malaysia was announced to be between RM220,000 and RM300,000 which is another affordable housing project by the government.
Depending on how you see it, there is a lot of overlap between the government agencies in providing affordable housing to the masses.
One other question which begs an answer is how will the government ensure that nobody will abuse the offer of so many affordable houses by various government-linked companies. There is also the issue about the term of ‘affordable housing’ when the government raised the limit of My First Home Scheme’s house price to RM400,000 and even now contemplating to raise the household income eligible for the scheme up to RM7,000.
6) Return of the mega property projects
At the start of 2011, the mega property projects seem to have lost some steam due to the property slowdown. It seemed then that the days of the launches for mega property projects in Malaysia are numbered.
Then a few announcements in the second half of the year of 2011 which made headlines dispelled this notion. Some of these property developments were old news with new owners or new managements.
Some were new projects which seemed to have been planned a long time ago but were just recently launched in 2011. Here are two of the most notables mega property project launches in 2011.
One of it that made the news was the launch of a new mega development project by NAZA TTDI called KL Metropolis at where the Matrade building is now situated. Spanning 75.5 acres, it is envisioned itself as the new international trade and exhibition district. To be developed in the span of 15 years, it will be done in 3 phases. The gross development value is estimated at RM15 billion and was launched by the Prime Minister in October 2011.
SP Setia has also finally launched its long awaited KL Eco City in November 2011, at a narrow piece of land formerly known as Kampung Haji Abdullah Hukum. Located opposite of the always busy Midvalley City, one can just imagine the hectic traffic situation of the area bordering Bangsar and the New Pantai Expressway, once it is completed.
It will comprise mixed-used commercial and residential properties which will be placed in a few towers within the 10.1 hectares of land. It is also said to be the first mixed-used commercial property to receive the currently sought after Malaysia Green Building Index (GBI) standard and will be completed in 10 years.
It seems that it is not the best of times to launch mega property projects with the end of the year 2011 on the Eurozone debts and the uncertainty of the financial crisis all over the world. Unless these developers have a good marketing strategy, it will a tough time for them to sell their properties.
7) Real Property Gain Tax
The tax treatment on the disposal of property was changed in 2010 after the Real Property Gain Tax (RPGT) was given a holiday for a few years due to the lackluster property market condition as the world’s economy took a tumble.
When it was reintroduced in January 2010, the tax treatment for RPGT was totally a different animal than what it was before April 2007 where RPGT was tiered according to how long you have owned a property. RPGT is calculated based on the profit you make when you dispose of a property at a maximum of 30 per cent within the first year of ownership but becomes zero per cent on the sixth year of ownership.
When it was reinforced (the law was never abolished but was just put on hold) in 2010, the tax treatment for the disposal of property was given a flat 5 per cent tax from the profit you make if the sale was done within the first five years of ownership of the property.
The way RPGT is collected also differs with 2 per cent of the transacted price to be paid before being refunded by Lembaga Hasil Dalam Negeri once it is checked and cleared.
Now, in 2012, after it was announced in the 2012 Budget in October 2011, the RPGT was changed again. Starting from January 2012, RPGT will now be two-tiered. Within the same vein when it was reintroduced in 2010, RPGT, which is taxed on any profit gained from the sale of a property will beat the rate of 10 per cent for any disposal below two years of ownership. Any property disposed after two years of ownership but less than five years will still have a 5 per cent levy but none will be levied after five years of ownership.
RPGT is good to curb speculation. The government should be moving back to pre-2007 RPGT calculation in the near future as the tiered RPGT had curbed speculation effectively. The government may also want to introduced more property tax such as property inheritance tax when the value of the property reach a certain limit which can be a new source of income for the government.
8) Regulation for banks in giving out property loans
In 2011, in order to slow down the overheating property market and to stop property speculator in damaging the affordable houses schemes, the government changed the rule on the amount of property loans. Bank Negara Malaysia made it into a rule that financial institutions can only gives out housing loan in the margin of 70 per cent for anyone who has more than two properties. Anyone who already owns two properties bought using housing loans will be limited to a margin of 70 per cent for his third property loan. However, his does not deter anyone who has cash to buy more than two houses and still speculate.
The rule had affected sales of properties in some ways. There was also news about the change of how loans related to household debt is going to be given out by banks in 2012.
It was decided, in not so many words, the criteria on the margin of loan and maybe even the interest rate levied on a property loan will now change due to the way a housing loan application is calculated. On the table but not yet announced or implemented is the new rule where the calculation for an application of a housing loan will be based on nett income of a borrower and not the current usage of gross income. It may even mean that one person or one household with incomes below RM5,000 can now only own one property below the price of RM300,000.
This rule will be in line with the promotion of affordable houses by the government though but will affect the business of housing development. In order to separate the genuine buyers with the speculators, housing loans can be separated from the nett income calculation so that it affect everyone’s credit rating.
These are all the news I consider worthy to be mentioned as the biggest property news in Malaysia during 2011. Some are already being implemented and some are coming days. From what I see, there are only a few keywords to the news: Affordable housing and curbing speculation. - The Malaysian Insider

Saturday, January 7, 2012

Will current breed of developers cater for needs of city dwellers?


THE clouds of tough times are looming again and the local property market looks set to be in the path of the gathering headwinds this time.
Needless to say, the need for more affordable housing projects that offer smaller but functional homes will increase as Malaysians become more cost conscious and watch over their expenditure to avoid from over committing themselves.
Latest statistics on the people's affordability level shows that less than 5% of Malaysian households have combined income of more than RM10,000 per month.
The trend is also for fewer children and smaller households, which makes it a natural choice to opt for smaller and more basic homes. This makes the luxurious larger home market a smaller segment of the overall market although demand for such property is still there.
Besides the ease of lower maintenance needs, such housing units are also easier to upkeep.
This brings to bear the huge popularity and long queue whenever projects involving small office, home office (SOHO), and more recently the small office, versatile office (SOVO) variety are launched in the Kuala Lumpur city centre and the peripheral addresses.
There is room for more projects that offer smaller built-up area but have versatile layout plans that allow for different uses including to be used as a home office. This makes the property multi-functional which explains its huge success among young Malaysians.
Some of the super luxurious projects in the city centre with huge built-up area of more than 10,000 sq ft can also be redesigned and retrofitted to cater to this group of eager buyers. Bringing down the size and price of these units will make them more affordable.
Otherwise, the large number of unsold apartments in the city will stifle efforts to bring life to the city after office hours. The large inventory could explain why prices of luxurious condominiums in the city remain stagnated after shedding around 20% since the onset of the global financial crisis in 2008.
Coming out with more “out of the box” and versatile designs will help to pacify the needs of the market better.
Another subject of interest is the ongoing merger and acquisition (M&A) activities in a number of industries in the country that has raised concerns about whether it may clip competition and stifle the competitive spirit among industry players to outdo each other.
Most of the time, free competition has been the panacea of greater market and corporate efficiency that can result in bigger benefits to consumers.
In the spirit of the survival of the fittest, competition to excel will lead to greater effort to do better and a search for better solutions to drive costs down.
Whatever the industry or service sector may be, the presence of more than one player tends to spur a more competitive spirit that often show up with better terms, service standards, and lower prices or charges to consumers.
Ultimately, competition will benefit businesses, consumers and the overall economy as a whole.
So how will the intensifying M&As impact businesses and consumers especially if they result in more collaborative and friendly industry players?
I have a feeling that unless these M&As are managed professionally and do not sacrifice the competitive spirit among the involved parties, consumers may find themselves at the raw end of the deal. And the companies and the economy may also suffer as a result.
With consumers growing more cost conscious and hunting for better deals, naturally greater competition that sweeten the deal will be more palatable for them.
Hopefully, the ongoing M&As between a number of local property players will be able to bring forth some positive outcomes for property buyers through more exciting and ingenious projects.
In the spirit of the Competition Act 2010 that came into force on January 1 this year, developers who have taken the M&A route should preferably retain their respective competitive advantages and continue to up their ante in terms of product offerings, quality workmanship and design plans.
Keeping the competitive spirit alive will promote more competition to bring to market more viable and interesting projects at more competitive pricing.
Deputy news editor Angie Ng wishes all Malaysians a blessed and blissful 2012 with hopefully great promotional offers coming our way.

Friday, January 6, 2012

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IGB unit plans 2 hotels in Penang


GEORGE TOWN: Cititel Hotel Management Sdn Bhd (CHM), a subsidiary of IGB Corp Bhd, is set to introduce two new hotels in this heritage city.
Construction on 0.4ha for both hotels in Jalan Magazine began in September last year and the hotels are expected to open for business in 2014.
CHM managing director Datuk Eric Lim said the gross development value for the new four-star St Giles Hotel and three-star Cititel Express Hotel was about RM180mil.
Lim: 'St Giles Penang will be the first in Malaysia'
“St Giles Penang will house a grand ballroom with a seating capacity of 1,200, several meeting rooms, a cafe, swimming pool, gymnasium, health centre, executive lounge and a helipad,” he told reporters after unveiling an 8.5m dragon made of recycled mineral water bottles at the Cititel Penang in Upper Penang Road here yesterday.
He said the hotels, which would be built back-to-back to each other, were scheduled for completion in the first quarter of 2014.
“The development will also include retail shops, restaurants, a food court and parking area for more than 500 vehicles,” he said
He added that the 32-storey St Giles would have about 500 rooms while the 23-storey Cititel Express would have 270 rooms.
“St Giles Penang will be the first (of its kind) in Malaysia after two in England, two in the United States and one in the Philipines,” he said. — Bernama

Analysts see REITs as defensive buys on uncertain outlook


PETALING JAYA: Research analysts have mixed views on the stocks of property developers, with some saying that the oversold shares are due for a rebound while others are quite negative on the sector.
Some analysts also recommended real estate investment trusts (REITs) as defensive plays, given the uncertain outlook for growth in property development.
RHB Research Institute upgraded the property sector to “neutral” as it believed that the current valuations of property stocks had largely reflected the sector's negative factors.
CIMB Research, which downgraded the sector from “overweight” to “trading buy”, said property stocks should at least enjoy a rebound as they were oversold.
OSK Research maintained a “neutral” call on the sector, and said while global economic uncertainties might dampen property buying sentiment, the low interest rate environment and flush liquidity in the banking system would continue to shore up demand.
However, Kenanga Research was quite bearish on the property development sector, and maintained its “underweight” rating on property developers.
Kenanga Research expected property demand and capital values in 2012 to moderate to a 5% year-on-year in transactions value growth, due to recent government cooling measures, buying caution in light of global economic uncertainties as well as a “breather” after two consecutive years of record demand.
RHB Research said the outlook for the property sector remained challenging and fundamentals were still “wobbly”, as property sales were largely driven by gross domestic product (GDP) growth.
“Given our GDP growth forecast of 3.6% for 2012, we expect property sales to slow to 5% after a 20% growth in 2011 (annualised),” said RHB Research.
Kenanga Research opined that the medium to large-sized property developers such as UEM Land Holdings BhdSP Setia BhdMah Sing Group Bhd and UOA Development Bhd were overly bullish in their 20% to 60% year-on-year sales growth targets this year.
There are signs that financial institutions are more cautious in lending to real estate buyers nowadays.
“This is evident with slower monthly mortgage approvals. There is a higher frequency of rebates' offered by developers, while some have reported that buyers are taking longer to commit to purchases.”
However, CIMB Research noted that the recent performance of property companies' share prices had diverged from the real property sector's achievement in terms of sales and profits.
“SP Setia, Mah Sing, UEM Land, UOA Development and Eastern & Oriental Bhd all locked in record sales (in 2011).”
The research unit said that fundamentally, property companies should continue to do well in 2012.
Key headwinds including slowing GDP growth (potentially from 5% in 2011 to 3.8% in 2012) should be more than offset by cheap (stock) valuations, continued record new sales and robust earnings growth.
OSK Research also pointed out that the downside risk for property prices should be mitigated by lack of equivalent investment options, as property investments offered an attractive hedge against inflation.
According to CIMB Research, there is a robust outlook for the residential market despite strong price gains in the past two years.
It was noted that the growth of residential property supply throughout Malaysia had declined over the past 10 years.
The increase in residential property supply in 2010 was among the lowest ever, which had contributed to the strong appreciation in prices over the past two to three years.
CIMB Research said with the drive to transform Greater Kuala Lumpur into an outstanding capital city, the population was forecaste to rise from six million currently to 10 million by 2020.
“It is estimated that one million homes would have to be constructed to meet the requirements of an enlarged population base,” it said.
OSK Research concurred, and said the residential market was expected to remain rather encouraging in 2012, although some developers might become more cautious on the outlook for high-end landed and high-rise residential units.
“We expect developers to shift to the more affordable mass-market housing segment to tap the high demand by first-time and young buyers,” said OSK Research.
Kenanga Research also said affordability would be the theme amidst signs of slowing property demand growth.
“We expect developers under our coverage to source for more mass-housing landbanks but sales and earnings contributions would take another one to two years.”
However, the outlook in the commercial sector is weak.
CIMB Research noted that the glut of office space in the Klang Valley would worsen as more supply cam onstream in the coming years, with flattish rentals as occupancy rates continued to fall.
“Retail space is the only bright spot but even then, the market is polarised, with leading malls still doing well and most of the others languishing,” it said, adding that the huge impending supply of office space over the next few years would continue exerting downward pressure on rental rates.
, with landlords who were recording occupancy rates of below 50% expected to lower rental rates.
Meanwhile, Kenanga Research is maintaining its “overweight” rating on Malaysian REITs, which are likely to hunt for acquisition opportunities in 2012 as the office and retail sector may face weaknesses in capital values because of incoming oversupply.
It noted that Pavilion REIT had done well with a 17% share price appreciation since its recent listing.
Kenanga Research has “outperform” calls on CapitaMalls Malaysia Trust and Axis REIT, with target prices of RM1.57 and RM2.78 respectively.
RHB Research also said it remained positive on retail REITs. - The Star

New move to safeguard home buyers, says housing minister


SEREMBAN: Housing developers will be required to purchase insurance for their new projects in a move to safeguard buyers, Housing and LocalGovernment Minister Datuk Seri Chor Chee Heung said.
He said the ruling would be implemented after it is approved by the authorities and talks with insurance companies were concluded.
“We are in discussions with insurers to see how this can be implemented. We may need such a mechanism because there have been many housing projects abandoned in recent years with buyers left in the lurch,” he said.
Chor said that in the past decade, 167 housing projects comprising 53,238 units had been abandoned in the peninsula alone but 83 projects, comprising 15,806 units, have since been rehabilitated.
“We are also reviving 62 housing projects and hope to complete them soon,” he said.
Chor said his ministry revived 31 projects last year and hoped to rehabilitate another 35 comprising some 12,000 units this year.
Since 2007, some 5,000 directors of housing development companies and over 1,000 developers have been blacklisted.
Earlier, Chor gave away keys to 177 buyers of units at Taman Kerisi and Taman Bukit Ara in Kuala Pilah, near here.
The projects, which had been abandoned for several years, were revived at a cost of RM8mil, borne by the Federal Government. - The Star

Thursday, January 5, 2012

恢复老屋真面目 引燕屋变精品酒店


(槟城4日讯)引燕屋做不成被转手,将改装成精品酒店,使乔治市老屋再变身,从燕子进出的“栖身地”再改回熙来攘往的人住建筑。
在乔治市世遗区观音亭后(Stewart Lane)两间多年改建为燕屋的老建筑,在数年前已易手他人,并将成为一家施工中精品酒店的延伸部份,恢复其原本老屋真面目。
在上述门牌分别为14A及16号的双层楼建筑,是在多年前被原有业主打造为燕屋,其中16号更在二楼加添扩建四方型的引燕屋顶结构;而楼下后部建筑的天花板更是一分为二,扩建为双层面,以容纳更多的燕子栖息。
其中16号建筑井深长约110尺,阔19尺,总面积约为4000平方尺,而14A的建筑格局呈三角型,前阔后窄,前方阔约12尺,后方却缩小至约5尺,总建筑面积也只有960平方尺。16号的原有楼梯已换成铁板原料,而14A的楼上也同样是门面大事改造,与16号同样,二楼多个墙面开凿多个方圆形洞口作为引燕用途。
然而,据悉两间燕屋并未如期获得好收成,这或许也是该燕屋易手的其中原因。据了解,新业主是在约3年前以约110万令吉同时收购两间燕屋,有关业主刻在毗邻一排7间老屋进行翻新精品酒店工程,两间燕屋将成为酒店的延伸部份,其中14A已在进行装修,而16号也将不久开工翻新。
翻新工程耗资约50万元
据了解,两间燕屋的翻新工程或耗资约50万令吉。由于其前身从人住地方改为燕屋,所以多个建筑结构已面目全非,如今新业主必须大手笔工程,再将建筑灰复原形,在未来成为酒店。其中楼上屋顶将从锌版改为旧有的红色屋瓦,而加添的燕屋扩建部份将拆除,楼梯将同样改为原有木制材料。
料今年5月初步完工 将引来不少游客青睐
在观音亭后的一排9间双层建筑改造的精品酒店已在施工中,料在今年5月初步完工。
据了解,上述建筑门牌分别为2、4、6、8、10、12、14已放空多年,更曾面对火患几近成为废墟般,而新业主Christopher Ong已有修复老屋的经验,目前积极着手于收购老屋及赋予新生命的事业。其中Clove Hall及南华医院街的马房精品洒酒即出自其手。
据了解,在观音亭后的老屋将会在落成后提供16间的套房,其中后巷更将成为酒店的其中入口,使老屋更有隐密感,成为一些喜好隐私游客的其中选择。由于该精品酒店毗邻世遗核心区,为游客熙来攘往之处,相信将在投入运作时引来不少游客的青睐。
据发现有关工程将尽量原有建材再循环使用,比如百年的砖块都会继续派上用场,其中在后方一面已残旧的墙面也将在整修后继续矗立不倒,以符合其修复老屋的概念。
燕屋将恢复昔日面貌
负责工程的督工林双福向本报记者说,14A的燕屋已在进行修葺工程以成为酒店的一部分,而16号的燕屋也将不久施工。
他表示,其中16号有较多的燕子飞入,墙面上还有燕窝的痕迹,唯在毗邻工程进行后,燕子已不再飞入。他表示,有关燕屋在修葺工程将恢复其昔日面貌,其中铁板楼梯将改回原有木料,所有加添的结构也将拆除,恢复其原本功能。- 光华
相关照片

■ 精品酒店在施工中,料在明年年中初步完工。

■ 两间燕屋将改为精品酒店的延伸部份。

■ 引燕的圆形洞口将拆除。

Wednesday, January 4, 2012

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Bright outlook for rental market


SINGAPORE: The rental market could brighten for landlords this year as home-buyers defer buying units in the wake of the recent cooling measures, said analysts.
They believe the larger pool of tenants might stabilise the rental market or even drive a pick-up of up to 5% in rents over the next 12 months.
These analysts' comments are a contrast to earlier expectations that rents were set to fall as a large supply of completed units come onto the market this year. Analysts had predicted a possible softening of rents this year due to the new private and public homes that will be completed within the next few months.
But some consultants now say that foreigners considering buying might be persuaded to head to the leasing market, after being put off by the recent introduction of the additional buyers' stamp duty of 10%.
“(The measures) effectively increase their (financial) risks tremendously if they buy and ... get reassigned elsewhere or lose their jobs (within the first two years),” said Alan Cheong, head of research at Savills Singapore.
“Leasing has always been seen as a faster and easier decision to make as compared to buying a property because of the lower commitment level and the smaller amount of money required upfront,” said OrangeTee managing director Steven Tan.
In the third quarter of last year, the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) rental index of non-landed homes showed increases compared with that of the previous quarter, although the index rose at a slower pace in the central regions and suburban areas.
While demand from foreigners and expatriates is expected to be the main driver of the residential leasing market next year, the local factor cannot be ignored.
There may be some locals who have sold and want to rent, and wait until they can buy at a cheaper price. There may also be locals who are now unwilling to sell their home given the weaker market.
Cheong suggested that the expected dip in rents was now unlikely, with the effects of the measures partially balancing it out.
URA figures indicate that 9,584 apartments were completed between the third quarters of 2010 and 2011, with rents rising 6% during that period.
“This suggests that rental demand was substantially greater than supply. Thus, barring external shocks or policy changes that affect immigration, rentals should at least be stable in 2012,” he said, noting that the rate of immigration was still strong and might remain so for years to come.
Market watchers added that global economic uncertainty would also have an impact on rents.
Hardest hit would be the high-end sector, said Cheong, with rents possibly experiencing declines of up to 5%.
New arrivals of foreign white-collar workers might have more constrained rental budgets, said other consultants.
“Rental budget cuts will lead tenants to look at cheaper alternatives so projects in mid-prime or well-located city fringe or suburban locations may be in greater demand,” said Ong Teck Hui, head of research and consultancy at Credo Real Estate. - Singapore ST

Private home price hike continues to moderate


SINGAPORE: The rate of increase in private residential property prices continued to moderate for the 9th consecutive quarter, according to flash estimates by the Urban Redevelopment Authority.
The private residential property index rose from 205.7 points in the third quarter of 2011 to 206.2 points in the fourth quarter of 2011. This represents an increase of 0.2%, compared to the 1.3% increase in the previous quarter.
Prices of non-landed private residential properties increased by 0.5% in Core Central Region and by 0.6% in Outside Central Region in the quarter. There was no change in the prices in property prices in the Rest of Central Region.
In comparison, in the third quarter of 2011, prices of non-landed private residential properties increased by 0.7% in the Core Central Region, 1.2% in Rest of Central Region and 2.1% in Outside Central Region.
Price rises of resale HDB flats have moderated in the final quarter of 2011.
Meanwhile, price rises of resale Housing and Development Board (HDB) flats have moderated in the final quarter of last year, rising 1.7% compared to the 3.8% rise seen in the third quarter.
This comes after two quarters of accelerated prices rises since the second quarter of last year when prices rose 3.1%, compared to 1.6% seen in the first quarter.
Analysts have expected the market to cool somewhat in light of the global economic uncertainty and moves by the government to cool Singapore's property market by imposing heavy stamp duties on residential transactions.
The HDB's estimate released yesterday brings the HDB Resale Price Index (RPI) to 190.4; the RPI provides information on the general price movements in the public residential market.
HDB said yesterday it had offered 28,043 flats for sale last year to address hot demand for homes. This comprised 25,196 new flats under its build-to-order system and 2,847 balance flats under the sale of balance flats exercise. Singapore ST. - The Star